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Abrupt Climate Change Not Possible, Study Claims

Planetary Tipping Point 300x260 Abrupt Climate Change Not Possible, Study ClaimsAbrupt climate changes can’t really happen, claims a controversial paper published in the journal Trends in Ecology and Evolution authored by scientists in the US, UK, and Australia.

The report is polarizing since the paper opposes recent scientific endeavors to identify planetary tipping points, known as critical levels of biodiversity loss or land-use change that would have effects all over the earth. A tipping point occurs when an ecosystem attribute such as species abundance or carbon sequestration responds rapidly and possibly irreversibly to a human pressure like land-use change or climate change.

Authors of the paper say their findings are good news since it dismisses the gloom-and-doom scenarios perpetuated in relation to climate change. Researchers fear that a focus on planetary tipping points, of the point-of-no-return mentality leads to a fatalistic sense of hopelessness that makes combatting climate change even more difficult.

Criteria for a planetary tipping point (abrupt climate change) are very unlikely to be met in the real world, according to scientists. They determine that continental ecosystems are not connected, the responses of ecosystems to human effects like land-use change or climate change depends on local circumstances and will vary between different locations.

Ultimately, the scientists looked at four drivers of terrestrial ecosystem change: land-use change, habitat fragmentation, biodiversity loss, and climate change. They discovered than any of these were not capable of inducing global tipping points.

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About the author

Leigh is a Senior Technical Communicator working in the energy sector in Dallas, Texas. Prior to her work in the energy industry, Leigh spent years specializing in life saving engineering projects for the US Department of Defense. In her spare time, Leigh pursues her passions of environmental awareness, vegan baking, dog rescue, and defending the place of art, literature, and music in a world that values science, technology, engineering, and mathematics.

Comments

4 comments
DavidNutzuki
DavidNutzuki

27 years of "maybe" a crisis means it "won't be" a crisis.

Deny this:

If this is a real crisis how come not one single IPCC warning is without "maybes" and “could bes” etc. Look for yourself. Help my planet is on fire maybe?

Science says comet hits are “imminent” and “impending” but has never said the same for climate change crisis. Never!

This comment has been deleted

LoneWolffe
LoneWolffe moderator like.author.displayName 1 Like

 @DavidNutzuki do you recommend a chain smoker cut back to one pack a day or quit smoking entirely? the only 'burners' here are people putting environmental responsibility on the 'back burner' 

DavidNutzuki
DavidNutzuki

 @bnjroo

 A climate crisis is the ultimate crisis and needs the ultimate assurance and proof. If "maybe" is good enough for you to threaten your kids with the greenhouse gas ovens................maybe you just hate humanity instead of loving the planet.

LoneWolffe
LoneWolffe moderator like.author.displayName 1 Like

I'd rather be wrong about this and have to apologize for helping the world become more efficient for 'no reason'

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