Home Environment Climate Change

GreenHouse Gases [GHG] vs [GDP] Gross Domestic Product

19
1

World GDPAccording to a recent study, greenhouse gas [GHG] emissions increase as the economy rises, but don’t seem to fall as drastically when the economy falters. Richard York, of University of Oregon, reviewed 48 years of data from more than 150 nations, statistics kept by World Bank.

According to York, “Economic decline … doesn’t lead to as big a decline in emissions as a comparable amount of economic growth leads to growth in emissions.” He found that for every 1% increase in gross domestic product [GDP], carbon-dioxide [CO2] emissions, the main GHG, rose by an average of 0.73%. For every decrease in GDP, though, there was less of a corresponding decrease in CO2 emissions, just 0.43%.

These statistics are important to forecasters, who are helping world leaders come to some accord on how to attack the global warming phenomenon, since most studies simply assume that GHG emissions and GDP move up and down proportionally.

“The difference might be because new infrastructure added during times of economic growth – new homes, roads or factories – is still used during recession. When economies decline, factories don’t shut down immediately, people don’t stop driving (although they may defer buying a new car),” said York. “and many new buildings still need heating or air-conditioning.”

Scientists agree that CO2 and other GHGs are one of the main causes of global warming. The UN panel of climate scientists says that GHGs leading to globally-rising temperatures will lead to more extreme weather patterns, including floods, droughts, heatwaves, stronger storms, and rising sea levels.

Current climate-change scenarios predict the world economy to expand as high as $550 million in 2100, which, according to studies, would raise global temperatures by as much as 11.5°F.

Just how to effect a change, though, has been somewhat difficult. Nearly 200 nations, at the Copenhagen summit in 2009, failed to reach an agreement on how to move forward. They are hoping to reach a global pact by 2015, which could take effect as early as 2020.

(Visited 74 times, 1 visits today)

1 COMMENT

  1. The voters of the world have full consensus that the “crisis” was an exaggeration, not a hoax and further CO2 threats to the voter is just what Romneycon wants.
    *Occupywallstreet does not even mention CO2 in its list of demands because of the bank-funded carbon trading stock markets run by corporations.
    *Obama has not mentioned the crisis in the last two State of the Unions addresses.
    *Julian Assange is of course a climate change denier.
    *Canada killed Y2Kyoto with a freely elected climate change denying prime minister and nobody cared, especially the millions of scientists warning us of unstoppable warming (a comet hit).
    Meanwhile, the entire world of SCIENCE, lazy copy and paste journalism and Liberal progressivism had allowed bank-funded and corporate-run “CARBON TRADING STOCK MARKETS”(ruled by trustworthy politicians) to trump the UN’s and entire world’s efforts into 3rd world fresh water relief, starvation rescue and 3rd world education for just over 26 years of insane attempts at climate CONTROL.
    Science has never said it will happen, only might happen despite being at the brink of unstoppable warming. Not one single IPCC warning is without “maybes”. Help my planet is on fire maybe? If science just said it will happen, not just might happen, the former believer voters would return, maybe.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.